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No ‘red lines’ in Ukraine support, French foreign minister tells BBC

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Jeff Overs / BBC French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot speaking with the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg. He is wearing a dark grey suit, white shirt and dark red striped tieJeff Overs / BBC

There aren’t any “red lines” with regards to assist for Ukraine, the French Foreign Minister has informed the BBC.

Jean-Noël Barrot mentioned that Ukraine might fireplace French long-range missiles into Russia “in the logics of self defence”, however wouldn’t affirm if French weapons had already been used.

“The principle has been set… our messages to President Zelensky have been well received,” he mentioned in an unique interview for Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg.

French President Macron indicated France’s willingness to permit its missiles to be fired into Russia earlier this yr. But Barrot’s feedback are vital, coming days after US and UK long-range missiles were used in that way for the first time.

Barrot, who held talks with Foreign Secretary David Lammy in London on Friday, mentioned Western allies shouldn’t put any limits on assist for Ukraine in opposition to Russia, and “not set and express red lines”.

Asked if this might even imply French troops in fight he mentioned: “We do not discard any option.”

“We will support Ukraine as intensely and as long as necessary. Why? Because it is our security that is at stake. Each time the Russian army progresses by one square kilometre, the threat gets one square kilometre closer to Europe,” he mentioned.

Barrot hinted at inviting Ukraine to hitch Nato, as President Zelensky has requested. “We are open to extending an invitation, and so in our discussions with friends and allies, and friends and allies of Ukraine, we are working to get them to closer to our positions,” Barrot mentioned.

And he advised that Western nations should improve the quantity they spend on defence, remarking: “Of course we will have to spend more if we want to do more, and I think that we have to face these new challenges.”

Jeff Overs / BBC French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot Jeff Overs / BBC

Barrot spoke to the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg after every week of escalation in Ukraine

Barrot’s feedback come after a week of significant escalation in Ukraine – with UK and US long-range missiles being fired in Russia for the primary time, Russia firing an intercontinental ballistic missile, and Vladimir Putin suggesting the potential for international battle.

One UK authorities supply describes the second as “crunch point” forward of the winter, and forward of Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

But how ought to Ukraine’s allies reply to Putin’s threats and Ukraine’s more and more perilous place? I’ve been talking to sources inside and out of doors of the UK authorities to know what the subsequent steps is likely to be.

What’s subsequent for the West?

Top of the listing is to maintain the cash and army assist flowing. “I’d turn up with a trebling of European money for Ukraine and I’d go after Russian assets,” one supply mentioned. “We need to work out what is the war chest that Ukraine needs to find to fight through 2025 and into 2026 – it’s hard to ask the US taxpayer to foot the bill.”

It’s not stunning there is a sturdy feeling within the defence world that growing defence budgets is a part of the reply. The head of the army, Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, who visited President Zelensky this week, informed us a fortnight in the past that spending needed to go up.

But with cash tight, and the federal government reluctant even to set a date on hitting its goal of spending 2.5% of GDP on defence, there may be little likelihood of sudden injections of additional billions.

Government sources emphasise long-term commitments the UK has already made, notably supporting Ukraine with drones.

Intelligence we will reveal this weekend exhibits Ukraine used drones in mid and late September to hit 4 Russian ammunition depots, lots of of miles from Ukraine. The assaults are understood to have efficiently destroyed the largest quantity of Russian and North Korean equipped ammunition in the course of the battle up to now. It hasn’t been confirmed whether or not these drones have been supplied by the UK or others.

They additionally highlighted a treaty signed between the UK and Ukraine in July to assist the nation arm itself in the long run.

What about responding to Putin’s increasingly threatening rhetoric? The message from a number of sources is: do not panic.

One mentioned: “The whole way through he has made threats – we have to not let it deter us”. What’s totally different now, in line with one former minister, is that Putin’s feedback are designed to catch the ear of the president-elect. “Russia wants to help Trump with reasons to switch off the help”. If it sounds just like the battle is turning into intolerably harmful, maybe the subsequent President can be extra wanting to deliver it to an finish.

When it involves the subsequent President, there may be nervous pause whereas Trump’s plan stays unclear. The hope is to place Ukraine in the absolute best place for any negotiation, a number of sources mentioned, and an insider advising the federal government informed me that may contain bigging up Trump’s personal negotiation skill. “To get [Trump] into frame of mind where it is one that is good for Ukraine – so he looks like the guy who stopped the war not the guy that lost Ukraine.”

Reuters Damage from a Russian missile strike in Dnipro earlier this weekReuters

Damage from a Russian missile strike in Dnipro earlier this week

In non-public there are additionally solutions of getting Ukraine to contemplate what is likely to be an appropriate method out of the battle. In public, ministers will at all times say Russia shouldn’t be rewarded for an unlawful invasion and that it’s for Ukraine, and Ukraine alone to determine if and when to barter and whether or not to supply any compromise by any means.

But a supply acknowledges that in authorities there’s an consciousness that “every negotiation has to involve trade offs.”

“We have to think about what could be the quid pro quo for Ukraine,” a former minister says. “If [Zelensky] were to concede, what does he get? Does he get NATO membership to guarantee security in the long term?”

There can also be is a realisation that the risk from Russia is right here to remain – whether or not in Ukraine or tried sabotage in our streets. “They are literally allied with the North Koreans fighting now, and the Iranians are supplying them,” a authorities supply mentioned. “We can’t see them as anything other than a threat now.”

Perhaps the fact is a extra everlasting risk on the jap fringes of Europe. Perhaps Russia’s aggression and harmful alliances are a return to the norm after a short constructive spell in the course of the 90s. “Get used to it,” one supply mentioned, “it’s how we’ve lived for ever.”

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